Inflation concerns in India tempered by monsoon season
Seasonal rains in India tempered concern inflation will accelerate, and a gauge of expected swings in India’s rupee fell to a six-year low.
Three-month implied volatility, a measure of expected moves in the rupee used to price options, fell 12 basis points to 6.33%, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s the lowest since June 2008. In the spot market, the currency was little changed at 60.0950 per dollar during morning trading in Mumbai.
The deficit in the June-September monsoon narrowed to 24% of the 50-year average since June 1, compared with 43% on July 11, the weather department reported July 25. Consumer prices advanced 7.3% in June, the smallest gain in data going back to the start of 2012. Foreign investors pumped more than $5 billion into the nation’s bonds and stocks this month, according to exchange data.
The finance ministry forecasts the economy will expand as much as 5.9% in the year through March 2015, compared with 4.7% in the previous 12 months.
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